Countdown to Linux Desktops

While I hear what this article is saying, I would be interested as to who ‘nearly everyone in the tech industry’ encompasses when referring to Linux not be ready for prime time.

In a show of unity that is rare in the technology industry, nearly everyone has agreed that
Linux is not ready for prime time when it comes to the average user in desktop deployment.

Although there is a certain wistful “if only” quality to the discussion, even major Linux vendors acknowledge that it will take some time before the penguin makes its way to the desktops of everyday users.

But how much time is difficult to predict. Although some analysts once projected that Linux would take decades to filter down from early adopters to average users, Linux vendors are tired of waiting, and are doing everything they can to speed up the adoption process.

Slow Train

The mass rollout of Linux to the desktop is pegged at between five and twenty years, depending on who is being asked, with many leaning toward the longer-term part of the range.

“Linux in the mainstream is a possibility, but we’re not going to see it anytime soon,” said Gartner analyst Michael Silver. “There’s been a lot of hype about Linux coming to the desktop, but it’s just not going to happen as fast as some people want it to.”

Gartner released a report predicting that until 2008 at least, Linux would capture only a “tiny” percentage of the PC share. [Read the rest]

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