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Why Sun Should Matter to You

Paul Murphy (as every article of his says, a pseudonym – ZDNet author) put up an outstanding article concerning the company known as Sun, an why its health should matter to users of other products.

Though I could write about some of the points, such as the competition factor, with Sun helping out AMD, in its fight to survive against the juggernaut of Intel, there are some things only a true industry insider can tell.

What Sun can do now - and why you should help.

The new problems Sun’s executive faces now include:

1] Southeastern’s attempt to sell the company out from under management has given at least IBM and possibly others unprecedented access to Sun confidential information - information a competitor should not have and which must now be devalued.

2] The publicity accorded the leaked information about the discussions has caused significant damage to Sun’s long term credibility as a key infrastructure supplier - creating considerable FUD, delaying customer purchase decisions, and causing a lot of “market analysts” and “journalists” to prove their commitments to the more powerful advertisers by presenting unusually vitriolic and uninformed commentaries attacking Sun, its executives, and its customers - this one, by Computerworld’s Thibodeau , for example, ingratiates itself with just the right people to look objective while managing all three forms of attack in only about 360 words.

Since the marketing organization fundamentally focuses on making large discounted sales to a small group of big customers and, unfortunately, these are the buyers most likely to make long term changes in response to precisely the kind of FUD loosed by this debacle, there’s a real risk the impact will be amplified across the next few customer budget cycles.

3] a lot of valuable Sun people, and not many deadweights, are updating their resumes and talking to friends about new opportunities.

And, in addition, none of the old problems have gone away:

1] quarterly performance pressure drives many executive decisions, forcing short term responses -like the volume customer focus in sales and announced layoffs- sabotaging long term strategies;

2] the Wall Street shell game in which players sell blocks of Sun shares at a small loss per share to drive up the value of a collaborator’s investments in competitors, continues - and, of course, the only guarantee coming out of the “indigo” mess is that, absent significant change, variations on this will happen again.

3] most of the market, and many among Sun’s own staff, have no idea how the SPARC products line up against x86; no appreciation for the differences between Solaris and Linux; and no interest in learning how unloved products from Sun Ray to the CMT cryptology processors can produce huge savings and/or productivity improvements for customers.

There’s a vicious cycle here: as quota pressure drives salespeople to sell what’s selling, and mass media support drives customers to favor dumb solutions, the people who should be explaining the cost, security, and productivity advantages that go with SPARC/Solaris become increasingly unwilling and unable to do so - and so more and more SPARC sales go to fewer and fewer large customers whose technical strengths lead them to demand the product - and whose technical people are under pressure from within data processing to buy IBM and from the executive suite to buy Wintel.

The basic bottom line on strategies to date is that appeasing Wall Street doesn’t work, that selling to a diminishing number of ever larger customers invokes enormous business risks, and that having great products doesn’t count for anything if neither the customer nor your own sales people want to know about them.

So what to do? How about:

• spin off the x86 business as a separate company - tied to the original through agreements on early technology access, OpenSolaris, and big customer marketing;

• look into the feasibility of setting up the open source software businesses as a charitable foundation;

• take the rest of the company private via a leveraged employee buyout;

• build a new marketing division aimed at selling in ones and twos to smaller customers:

• work with the tens of thousands of “joe’s computing” shops run by capable people around the world to sell directly to smaller companies looking for precisely the savings, power, reliability, and security offered by the combination of SPARC/Solaris hardware, open source software, and local support;

• train up “local joe” by providing extensive business and technical support;

• motivate “local joe” by helping him build pride in his work while selling more support and services to the customer - paid for by the customer’s savings over the default Wintel decision.

• develop a couple of longer term, high visibility, showcase projects for both the technology and the company; and,

• launch one other, major, initiative I don’t want to discuss in public.

And one more thing: a lot of people don’t share my interest in Sun technologies and tell me they’d just as soon see the company go under. Setting aside those with personal motivations (usually some form of fear of competence) for that position, most of the people I’ve talked to who believe this won’t affect them simply haven’t thought it through.

The big reason you should be working to help Sun survive and prosper even if you never want to use any open source product it contributes to, or any product it sells, is that competition is good for the industry.

Witness, for example, Intel’s “new” Nehalem line - it’s great right? By Wintel standards, it is - but if Sun hadn’t lent AMD some people to design x64 and then supported the company by building its own motherboards to demonstrate what x86 multi-core could do, you’d be paying HP’s prices for Itanium desktops - Itanium performance, and Itanium security.

If Sun dies, a lot of innovation dies with it - and you’ll be paying a lot more for a lot longer to Intel, IBM, and Microsoft.

So what’s the bottom line? Simple, Sun can get its act together - and you, whoever you are, should help because their success, even if you never buy from them, forces others to lower their prices while increasing the value you get from the people you do buy from.

As Murphy states, everyone should care, as without Sun, your choice of ‘big iron‘ shrinks to HP and IBM. (Did I forget anyone else?  I don’t think so.) Why should you care about big iron? Well, unlike the Reagan economics theory, what occurs with big iron really does trickle down (to little iron) – so everyone eventually benefits.

If you care about computing history at all, you would want to make sure that Solaris (one of the only true Unixes left) survives.

And if you care about AMD as a response, or counterbalance, to Intel, you might want Sun to survive, so as Murphy points out, it can come to the aid of AMD again, should the need arise.

Another thing, not expressly set forth above – one less tech company her in the States usually means one more tech company overseas, and less American innovation – if that matters.

I think it does. (Don’t think too big to fail, think too important to fail)

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Make everything as simple as possible, but not simpler.Albert Einstein

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7 Comments

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Christopher Bruscato

April 20th, 2009
at 3:36pm

The world would not have fallen into Itaniums it would have created a larger market for IBM, who was not a lightweight in MicroProcessors; and whom created the PowerPC architecture. IBM was developing and working on projects like the Cell Processor, which would have blown x64 out of the water, if Sun’s people would have been behind it. Those people are right to update their resumes; they are needed at IBM.

Let’s also discuss that the UltraSPARC has never taken off because of cost. Windows\Linux\x86\x64\IBM\HP have always been loss leaders compared to what Sun comes up with. Sun right now has nothing at all for companies with Tech Budgets <25k\year with 25 or less employees. IBM, Dell, and HP have multiple models aimed exactly at them with solutions like Small Business Server. People forget that over half this country is driven by this exact demographic; companies that don’t even know they need servers, or what they do.

Let’s also not forget that despite Corporate love for Java in the form of cell phones and BluRay; the Public despises it. More often preferring applications written in Silverlight \ Flash \ .Net. .Net also has a much better development enviroment than Eclipse could ever hope to be.

The Linux community is in-debt to Sun for their work on the OpenOffice.org project; however it is still viewed as a “good-enough-for-most” rather than a market leader like Mozilla turned Firefox into. Companies like

Sun are better doing what they need to, innovating. Things like engineering actual product, or dealing with sales is useless to them. They would work better being absorbed into another company as a R&D division. I still think that an IBM buyout is in the best interest of this company, for the future of technology, and for the better of the market.

Sun+IBM eventually could even re-absorb AMD and create a serious technological powerhouse to compete with Intel\Nvidia. Solaris belongs where it is, competing with Linux on a level that Windows and Mac cannot; Servers, Storage, and workstations.

Christopher Bruscato, alas, it’s all over but the banker’s shaking hands. Oracle has agreed to purchase Sun.

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