Will eBooks Eventually Replace Hardcover Books?

Posted by on Jul 20, 2010 | 15 Comments

Amazon has recently announced that during the past three months, the sale of eBooks has overtaken the sale of hardcover books. Amazon has sold some 631,000 Kindle devices, which are made exclusively for the eBook readers; the company states that this figure includes the free books it offers, as well. Books written before 1923 are now public domain since the copyrights have expired and comprise 1.8 million books available for free to anyone.

A recent news article states:

Book lovers mourning the demise of hardcover books with their heft and their musty smell need a reality check, said Mike Shatzkin, founder and chief executive of the Idea Logical Company, which advises book publishers on digital change. “This was a day that was going to come, a day that had to come,” he said. He predicts that within a decade, fewer than 25 percent of all books sold will be print versions.

The shift at Amazon is “astonishing when you consider that we’ve been selling hardcover books for 15 years, and Kindle books for 33 months,” the chief executive, Jeffrey P. Bezos, said in a statement.

Still, the hardcover book is far from extinct. Industrywide sales are up 22 percent this year, according to the American Publishers Association.

The growth rate of Kindle sales tripled after Amazon lowered the price of the device in late June to $189 from $259, Amazon said. That was moments after Barnes & Noble dropped the price of its Nook e-reader to $199 from $259.

For those of you who may not be aware of it, you can download free software from Amazon to view eBooks right on your computer. This means that you do not even have to purchase a Kindle to view eBooks. I have tried this and it works very well. I have enjoyed reading some of the old classics for free.

But the one question remains. Will eBooks eventually replace hardcover books and drive the book publishing industry out of business?

What do you think?

Comments welcome.

Source – N.Y. Times

Free eBook software for your PC. Supports Windows 7, Vista, and XP

  • JFK

    It’s hard to say if that will ever become a reality. Kindle’s break, needs a powers source and so on.

    The advantage of search is always great; being able to store multiple books is a plus.

    However, the same thing was said about office paper being eliminated. A paperless society and so on.

    Today we use more paper than ever before.

    • http://wp3.lockergnome.com/nexus/blade/ Ron Schenone

      JFK – good point.

  • sean mcauley

    not in my life time i downloaded the dc comic app on my ipad it was terrible

  • Kat

    I’m skeptical whenever a company says the customer needs a reality check. Usually that means it’s the other way around.

    As long as there’s enough demand for hardcopy books, they’ll continue to exist.

    IMO, I think the e-experience isn’t good enough yet to replace hardcopy, but given the advances in just the last 5 years, we could be there soon.

  • Dick

    Ah the feel of a hefty rare volume. The typeface is gorgeous, the illumination of the volume is gorgeous. The binding is classic, real leather. And it’s over 100 years old. Very, wonderful. I’m going to enjoy each minute with this old friend.

    Lemme see now, I’ll download 500 free classics to my Kindle, and I can tell all my friends that “I’ve read that!”, whatever book those snooty college grads are talking about! And that’s not counting the latest dross from the NYT bestseller list! Wow!
    We can do away with public libraries!!!!! What a savings.

    Yup, Kindle vs. 100 year old Spurgeon. Same thing, right?

    • http://wp3.lockergnome.com/nexus/blade/ Ron Schenone

      Heh Dick,
      I agree about the feel of a good book. It can not be beat.

  • Jon

    Replacing hardcover books would be the worst idea ever. Unlike physical books, digital-only books can be much more easily controlled, censored or be outright banned.

    And what happens if, just maybe, the digital infrastructure collapses in some rare way. Where will these digital-only books be then?

    We weaken ourselves by making technology our crutch instead of a useful tool.

    • http://wp3.lockergnome.com/nexus/blade/ Ron Schenone

      Hello Jon,
      Good points. Thanks for dropping by and sharing your opinion.
      Regards, Ron

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  • Levi

    The current generations still prefer the physical books over the electronic ones for a good deal of their reading needs. Though the immediate gratification is a big lure.

    The problem I see with using statistics on how many people are buying what types of books is that the people buying lots of e-books may just as likely be buying lots of physical books as well. I never hear these statistics, the comparisons or even if the comparisons are ever done. It’s entirely possible that if the younger generations get use to e-books over physical book then the printing industry might go down the toilet. Lets face it, some demand is not the same as a lot of demand.

    However, books will still be printed. From time to time even those use to electronic books will print information off. We tend to be very tactile creatures. We love our sense of touch. This is a concept often overlooked by people predicting e-books overtaking physical books.

    To go with JFK’s post. My father, a retired Air Force Master-Sergeant, tells us of a act that occurred in the Air Force as a way of saving money. What they did is they took all of their manuals and put them on CDs to limit the amount of money wasted on paper printing.

    Of course this didn’t work. What ended up happening was that it cost more money because reading the manuals, especially when needed, was harder. So they ended up printing their own manuals. And of course this was more expensive on their own printers than from a professional printing company. I am a person if physical books disappeared I’d just print off my own from the electronic versions.

  • http://www.4leggedwear.com Lisa

    It’s not just the kindle. It’s also the kindle app. I’ve bought a lot of kindle books for my iPad. And no more hard cover books for me. Its indeed that E-books eventually replace hardcover books. :)

  • Don Naphen

    “Musty old smell of a book” ??? Geez, the dude at Amazon must have been smoking something he rolled himself! Can’t imagine anyone referring to the smell of a book as musty! The freshness of a new book being opened for the first time is great, unlike opening a new tab on my monitor! LOL. Ever try following an on-line help screen for a new program? Unless one has two monitors, one eventually PRINTS OUT the help. Yes, paper once again wins out. I have to concur with all the above comments Ron, as one technology doesn’t necessarily replace another, but rather should compliment each other. AND of course, as the years go by, the devices used to translate this stored data will become obsolete with no way to access it. Have you tried playing an old 8 track cassette lately?

    • http://wp3.lockergnome.com/nexus/blade/ Ron Schenone

      Hi Don,
      Good point about the data not be able to be accessed down the road.

  • CherylB

    I have been reading e-books for YEARS. Since I had my first palm. I love the portability. But I have a limited amount of funds. So I read mostly books from the library. They have e-books, but they tend to lag behind the publish date. So, I like both. I can’t see print books dying. Too many people use the library system.

  • sprinter

    Print or electronic? Well,it is a choice one can make with the options avaliable in future.with people travelling acroos the gobe using their blackberry for communications, computers for information,it clearly points towards the beginning of freedom of thoughts towards its realization at the press of the button,which unfortunately hard cover books fail to deliver.I myself can,t imagine to read a comic on an electronic device but then i never had a cellphone to use too.But,now i can as i had the freedom to do it when i want so will eventually happen for all information we carry for ourselves,including our bedside and travelmate called, Books.