Is Microsoft Doomed To Failure As Some Believe? I Seriously Doubt It

Posted by on Feb 4, 2010 | 11 Comments

The New York Times has chosen to allow Dick Brass, a former Microsoft employee, spill his personal opinions on why the mega giant of the software industry is doomed to fail. He mentions several factors that he cites, including but not limited to, the Redmond company being slow to adopt certain technologies such as tablet computers and e-books as examples. He also goes on to state that the X-box is another example of Microsoft coming being late to the party.

In the article he also states:

The company’s chief executive, Steve Ballmer, has continued to deliver huge profits. They totaled well over $100 billion in the past 10 years alone and help sustain the economies of Seattle, Washington State and the nation as a whole. Its founder, Bill Gates, is not only the most generous philanthropist in history, but has also inspired thousands of his employees to give generously themselves. No one in his right mind should wish Microsoft failure.

And yet it is failing, even as it reports record earnings. As the fellow who tried (and largely failed) to make tablet PCs and e-books happen at Microsoft a decade ago, I could say this is because the company placed too much faith in people like me. But the decline is so broad and so striking that it would be presumptuous of me to take responsibility for it.

But the one statement I like is this:

Microsoft’s huge profits — $6.7 billion for the past quarter — come almost entirely from Windows and Office programs first developed decades ago. Like G.M. with its trucks and S.U.V.’s, Microsoft can’t count on these venerable products to sustain it forever. Perhaps worst of all, Microsoft is no longer considered the cool or cutting-edge place to work. There has been a steady exit of its best and brightest.

Give me a friggin break dude!

Microsoft can’t count on these venerable products to sustain it forever.

This is the same idiotic thinking that GM is now using in their dumb commercials with Howie Long.  Have you seen the commercials where Howie says there is another thing that GM doesn’t make, and shows us a Honda lawn mower.

It wasn’t that GM makes only trucks and SUV’s. It was that Honda makes a better product. The quality of their vehicles was just far superior than anything that GM produced. If GM had a better mouse trap, the American people would of continued to buy American cars.

The same thing with Microsoft. My personal belief is that Windows and Office are superior products, products that Microsoft should be extremely proud of. I think what could be their real downfall, if any downfall actually exists, is that they are trying to expand in areas they should of stayed away from. Instead they want to go after companies like Google and want to be king of search.

One question I have is why?

Microsoft has a rebuttal piece in which they defend themselves.

At the highest level, we think about innovation in relation to its ability to have a positive impact in the world. For Microsoft, it is not sufficient to simply have a good idea, or a great idea, or even a cool idea. We measure our work by its broad impact.

I can not think of any products that have had a broader impact on our lives than has Windows or Office. Can you think of any product that equals these two products?

Maybe Windows and Office can not last for ever, but it could out last all of us who read this.

Comments welcome.

Source – NY Times

Microsoft Blog – Rebuttal

  • leftystrat

    Microsoft is not doomed to failure.
    We are doomed to Microsoft.

    Too much money on the line for total failure.

  • http://justenrobertson.com Justen

    I honestly believed that Microsoft was doomed until recently – I expected they’d whittle away their money and consumer confidence until nothing was left and they finally keeled over bankrupt in about a decade. That has changed, in my view. Windows 7, Internet Explorer 8, and Office 2007 really show some promise, as do their new effort to reach out to open-source developers. Microsoft smelled competition on the wind and wisely rethought their approach, brought in some new blood, and I think they have a fighting chance to adapt now. They lost me as a customer a long time ago (and permanently), but I think they’ll be a force on the software market for the foreseeable future.

    As for competition to Windows, I have come to believe it’s apples and oranges. I wouldn’t touch Windows with a 10-foot stick (and I don’t, all my various machines run Linux flavors). Linux is an operating system designed with people like me in mind, though – people who don’t want a shiny multipurpose product in a plastic box that does a long list of things pretty well and absolutely nothing else, but a hobby kit that they can turn into anything they want it to be with enough effort. There’s Mac of course, not trying to be a one-size fits all but rather a luxury product that caters to a very particular niche. Some Linux distros are like that as well. Windows is the Joe Average product – the Dodge of operating systems. It just works, it doesn’t impress, it doesn’t go fast, and it doesn’t do anything except get you from A to B, but that’s okay for most people.

    Office is a totally different ballpark. I don’t *want* everything and the kitchen sink, I want simple, streamlined, highly specialized tools when it comes to media editing. Office is a monstrosity IMO (so’s Open Office). I like Google Docs, Inkseine (a MS product), XJournal, Netbeans, and a dozen other pieces of software that all do extremely well just one of the things that Office does poorly. Again, maybe Office is not for me, apples and oranges.

  • http://thevirusfighter.blogspot.com/ Ron

    I don’t think Microsoft is anywhere near doomed to failure!
    There will always be room for improvement and Microsoft will have to continue working hard and smart to improve its products.
    Windows and Office Rock.

    I have my gripes – I would like to see the old start menu / explorer navigation as an option that we can choose – the new
    Windows Explorer may be good for some – but would like to see user choice – yes more user choice – I believe that is important
    and will let users, geeks and casual users alike know that they are being thought of and have a choice in things OS related.

    Macs OS X may some day be a contender – it is not there yet but is growing in popularity – not sure about the iPad?
    Does not hit a spot for me – no built in USB, multi tasking, or camera and microphone.
    OS X still does not have the ease of use that Windows has.
    I can get around in OS X, but not as easily as in Windows, even though I have used both OSes for years.
    I love Windows ability to hit the home button in notepad, or any text editor, Word, Wordpad, etc. when you hit the home button the cursor goes to the first of the line, not first of document like Mac, you can hit ctr. + home for that, and end goes to the end of the line, not end of the document, ctrl + end will do that. I think Windows should cost less and Office.
    And speaking of choice, I would like to see a way to switch off the Office Ribbon – not a fan of it.
    I know you can download non MS supported programs to do away with the Ribbon, and get the Classic Start Menu / Explorer functions but – I would like a Microsoft supported method to turn these features on and off. Thanks for all you do Chris.
    Ron

    tweeting as:
    virusfighter
    :)

  • Pizzor2000

    I really don’t see Microsoft going away anytime soon. I guess I really can’t imagine another OS overtaking Windows, or even succeeding alongside Windows with the general public.

    Linux is too complicated, and Mac is too proprietary, for most average Joes, so having several commercially mainstream OS’s out there would just create more confusion. Less tech-savy people and businesses, who already have to decide on brand of computer, hardware specs, etc., will be faced with yet another decision when buying a new system. Not to mention, software and hardware vendors would have to make sure their products can support many different platforms.

    Maybe Microsoft won’t be the ruling party in a hundred years, but I don’t see its products going away in the near future.

  • bobby manuel

    Microsoft could be in trouble 10 years from now – if they don’t do exactly the right thing today. Building standards compliant software could keep governments and corporations from abandoning their software – which people are beginning to at least consider doing. 2) Take a good look at gmail and learn from it. 3) poach as many high level apple designers as you can. 4) identify naysayers, nitpickers and complainers, hand them a years salary and show them the door.

  • Kirk

    The only thing that may kill Microsoft eventually is Apple turning over the business market. This is where Microsoft started its success. If they ever release another lemon such as Vista… then Im afraid that they will be done for as we know them to be. I believe that they will always be around, but just not in the capacity that we have been used to…

  • YOGESH PAWAR

    actually MICROSOFT i guess has lost it’s creativity

  • Ryan Farmer

    “The same thing with Microsoft. My personal belief is that Windows and Office are superior products.”

    9 out of 10 million botnet-infected zombies agree!*

    (OK, more like 9.999 out of 10 million, but then the joke wears thin.) *grin*

  • Ryan Farmer

    Also, to quote myself:

    “Windows has to be the only OS where forgetting where you placed 26 letters and numbers is actually worse than losing the installation disc.”

  • Gary Bing

    Bing be my name and that’s no joke. Theirs is. I failed to get a website with that name but Microsoft would have just called it Bingg.com. A lot of companies are discovering they don’t need or care for Microsoft products any more., preferring Google applets ( such irony here) cloud computing is going to eliminate even hard drives let alone the solid state ones. What does Microsoft have now? May be they should make Dodo bird plushies and sell them in their “new” stores. I’d short sell if I were you. That’s the only way I see any money to be made on them. They had their place in the sun but remember their is always a sunset and for some they can be even more beautiful than sunrise.

  • Gary Bing

    I’m a liberal but I don’t believe in too big to fail. The auto companies should have gone through bankruptcy you can emerge from that leaner and meaner. When it inevitably comes down to Microsoft going to Congress with their hat in hand I ‘d better not be alive when that happens because I’ll spend the rest of my life telling them to tell them “Bite me!”