I always enjoy reading these future projections by would be prophets in which they provide us with a look into what technology may bring. But I also know that sometimes there projections can be overzealous and may not come true, but they do make for good reading. I recently read an article over at The Independent by Steve Connor, Science Editor in Boston, in which a future by 2030 would have computers on par with human brain power. The article states:
Computer power will match the intelligence of human beings within the next 20 years because of the accelerating speed at which technology is advancing, according to a leading scientific “futurologist”.
There will be 32 times more technical progress during the next half century than there was in the entire 20th century, and one of the outcomes is that artificial intelligence could be on a par with human intellect by the 2020s, said the American computer guru Ray Kurzweil.
Machines will rapidly overtake humans in their intellectual abilities and will soon be able to solve some of the most intractable problems of the 21st century, said Dr Kurzweil, one of 18 maverick thinkers chosen to identify the greatest technological challenges facing humanity.
There is one truth to the article that I agree with. In the next 20 years technical progress should be absolutely amazing. But will computers be just as smart as us? Some could argue that computers might already be this smart. :-)
What do you think?
Full article is here.
[tags]computers, brain, power, 2030, technology, progress, [/tags]